Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 416.795867 474.424447 538.663611 615.856450 706.458642 809.862491 937.430056
2025-10-19 332.993184 408.280415 499.974180 620.984723 778.143729 977.632538 1253.700416
2025-10-26 279.872986 359.381800 461.765011 605.295608 804.586048 1076.461965 1484.146416
2025-11-02 244.003632 325.049091 434.178011 594.889066 830.761626 1172.780906 1722.550732
2025-11-09 224.955960 309.676401 428.432811 611.366777 894.025890 1328.158492 2074.287409
2025-11-16 204.282482 288.983723 411.766819 608.236735 925.498964 1437.814895 2372.200660
2025-11-23 186.017878 269.471668 394.060193 600.255627 946.660060 1532.114358 2660.221061
2025-11-30 173.125967 256.479082 384.439035 603.164373 984.970132 1659.755604 3033.248743
2025-12-07 159.025455 240.136404 367.668556 591.837032 996.466381 1740.426992 3331.142561
2025-12-14 148.231991 227.967063 356.249153 587.917873 1019.997104 1846.090195 3701.851539
2025-12-21 135.128961 210.903527 335.103108 564.404086 1003.740901 1871.447453 3903.528239
2025-12-28 131.359441 208.903414 339.059534 586.280352 1076.805441 2087.806276 4590.351113
2026-01-04 128.224561 207.879938 344.893321 612.934497 1164.654007 2354.496784 5481.569382
2026-01-11 121.770436 200.594333 338.971966 616.479246 1205.748859 2526.988182 6185.799277
2026-01-18 113.324971 189.102435 324.347182 601.109065 1204.023491 2600.214326 6640.567831
2026-01-25 106.361026 179.741002 312.854490 590.765112 1211.838062 2697.619094 7194.770499
2026-02-01 103.356771 177.349763 314.244542 607.110481 1282.458875 2964.627593 8352.650816
2026-02-08 98.274095 170.710827 306.873246 604.005804 1307.022256 3117.588120 9199.320111
2026-02-15 93.073032 163.479898 297.747473 596.090188 1318.816137 3238.649297 9981.940793
2026-02-22 89.440926 158.989825 293.702859 598.975093 1357.825496 3443.720667 11146.070877
2026-03-01 84.643655 151.920207 283.883489 587.740455 1359.201214 3540.469649 11939.299353
2026-03-08 80.918626 146.719439 277.518828 583.853295 1379.376237 3698.190351 13044.249615
2026-03-15 75.641959 138.120820 263.469480 560.530684 1344.274553 3678.332571 13397.739806